Pockets of Atlanta Real Estate Industry Remains Stagnant for February 2015

The shortest month of the year saw a mix of positive and negative factors in the Atlanta residential real estate market; however, being focused on pockets of the consumer segment can return a 60% growth year over year as experienced at Southeast Mortgage in February. 

The Cal-Culator, Atlanta’s leading residential real estate index, will hold steady at 6.3 for another month due to a continued decline in mortgage delinquency rates and a long awaited increase in inventory offset by declining home sales and investment in the Atlanta market.

The February Cal-Culator

Let’s Start With the Bad
Investors’ Dollars in Atlanta & Home Sales: The Atlanta Business Chronicle reported that home sales in metro Atlanta fell 37 percent from December 2014 to January 2015 and were also down 9.7 percent year over year. The decline was attributed to investors buying fewer homes in the area.
Substantial Decline in First-time Homebuyers: The National Association of Realtors also released data that nationwide, existing-home sales fell 4.9 percent ­to the lowest rate in nine months. First-time homebuyers, a vital demographic in the housing industry, declined to 28 percent, the lowest rate since June 2014. According to NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun, “January housing data can be volatile because of seasonal influences.”

Now for the Good News
Inventory: According to the latest data from the Atlanta Board of Realtors’ latest Market Brief, Atlanta housing inventory increased 13.6 percent year-over-year and by a staggering 54 percent from the previous month. Last year’s local real estate industry was tainted by the Atlanta housing crunch, which seems to be easing thus far in 2015.

Mortgages: For the 12th straight quarter, mortgage delinquency rates (defined as the rate of borrowers who are 60 days or more late on their mortgages) declined, according to TransUnion’s latest mortgage report. The vice president of research and consulting at TransUnion noted that the mortgage delinquency rate “continues to be well controlled as it slowly recedes to pre-recession levels.”

It’s no surprise that the short month combined with multiple threats of snow around Georgia didn’t propel the real estate market as far as hoped. However, housing experts are still extremely optimistic about the remainder of 2015 and are not overly concerned with this brief bout of sluggishness.
“Low interest rates, rising sale prices, economic expansion and balanced inventory support my expectation that the market will continue its strong and steady growth,” said Atlanta Board of Realtors President Ennis Antoine. “I believe the dynamic economic recovery we are seeing is going to have a major impact on the 2015 Atlanta housing market.”

The next Cal-Culator will be released March 7. Stay tuned to see if next month will reflect a positive come back after a month of stagnation.

www.southeastmortgage.com
770-279-0222

June 2014 - Cal-Culator - Real Estate Index Hits Record High

Atlanta Residential Real Estate Index Hits Record High With Across the Board Housing Improvements

Amid the summer heat, real estate in Atlanta is sizzling. Last month, the Cal-Culator, Atlanta’s residential real estate index, reached the previous record of 6.0. This month, the June index has climbed to a record high of 6.2 due to across the board improvements in home sales, builder confidence, home prices, increased inventory, foreclosures and more.

The June Cal-Culator

Home Sales
Pending, new and existing home sales all   saw  strong improvements in May. Existing-home sales rose 4.9 percent, with attributions to rising inventory levels, the improving job market and declining mortgage rates. Pending home sales rose “sharply” 6.1 percent, the largest increase since April 2010 when first-time homebuyers scrambled to sign contracts before a lucrative popular tax credit ended, according to the National Association of Realtors.

New-home sales posted an even stronger rebound with a nearly 19 percent increase from last month, the highest rate since May 2008, according to data released by the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development with the U.S. Census Bureau.  “These numbers are in line with our recent builder surveys, which indicate that more consumers are getting off the fence and coming back into the marketplace,” said Kevin Kelly, chairman of the National Association of Home Builders.

Home prices
RealtyTrac reported that the median sales price of distressed and non-distressed U.S. residential properties rose 6 percent in May from the previous month and 13 percent from a year ago, the second consecutive month in a row with a double-digit annual increase and the biggest annual increase since prices bottomed out in March 2012.

Builder Confidence
New data from the NAHB and Wells Fargo Housing Market Index showed that builder confidence for new single-family homes rose to only one point shy of the threshold of what’s considered good building conditions. The index rose four points to a level of 49. Any number over 50 indicates the majority of homebuilders view conditions as “good” rather than “poor.”  “After several months of little fluctuation, a four-point uptick in builder sentiment is a welcome sign and shows some renewed confidence in the industry,” said Kelly.

Foreclosures
Foreclosure levels in Atlanta have continued the downward trend that has permeated the real estate industry in 2014. Foreclosures in June dropped to levels not seen since 2002. The Atlanta Journal-Constitution reported on data from Kennesaw’s Equity Depot that 2,054 foreclosures were reported in June across 13 Atlanta counties, compared to 11,016 during the height of the housing crisis.  The Northeast and West aren’t faring as well, however, as foreclosure levels skyrocketed in May, according to Housing Wire. 

Stay tuned as we release the next Cal-Culator on August 5 to see if Atlanta’s residential real estate numbers continue on their current path of rebound.

www.southeastmortgage.com
770-279-0222

What You Need to Know Before Buying Your First Home

What You Need to Know Before Buying Your First Home

Posted on May 27, 2014 by admin 

 

Last week, we introduced our two-part series about first-time homebuyers with “Are You Ready to Buy Your First Home?”, a look inside the factors that indicate if hopeful homebuyers are ready to make the plunge. This week, we discuss a few things that you need to know as a first-time homebuyer.

Shaun Graham, Vice President of Southeast Mortgage

 

Do I need to be pre-approved for a loan?
A “mortgage pre-approval” is a written statement from a lender indicating that the borrower will most likely qualify for a loan at a certain rate based on income and credit information. However, the pre-approval doesn’t guarantee the loan or the rate quoted.
Though the loan isn’t guaranteed, there are multiple reasons why you should obtain pre-approval. Sellers and Realtors are more likely to engage with someone that is seen as a credible buyer and stands out in a competitive market. The pre-approval will also offer you an idea of what kind of house you can truly afford given the rate.
If you aren’t able to secure pre-approval the first time around there are things you can do to secure approval in the future, including striving to improve your credit score, decreasing your debt-to-income ratio and working toward a more substantial down payment.

What should I take with me with when applying for a mortgage?
With 2014 being labeled as the “year of documentation” by HSH , consumers will need to be extra-prepared with their paperwork when applying for a mortgage. Even if you’re not a first-time homebuyer, the necessary documentation will be new to you if you haven’t applied for a mortgage in the past five years. To satisfy mortgage lenders you will need:

• Photo identification
• Tax returns from the last two years
• Two recent pay stubs
• Bank statements from the last two months
• Proof of homeowner’s insurance
• Rent or utility checks. First-time homebuyers will need to prove they have a history of making payments on time.
• Verification of position and salary
• List of credit card accounts and amount owed on each
• List of assets such as bonds or stocks

Other forms may be need to be provided on a case-by-case basis such as 1099 forms if you are self-employed, gift letters and a signed sales contract after making an offer on a residence.

 Do I need a Realtor?
Having a Realtor is an invaluable asset when shopping for a home as outlined in our previous column “Why Enlisting a Realtor’s Assistance is Still a Necessity for Buyers.” Contracts, often up to 50-pages long, and negotiations can be extremely tricky whether it’s a buyer’s first home or fifth home. Contrary to popular belief, Realtors are bound by to law to act in the buyer’s best interest, therefore, it is highly recommended to take advantage of a Realtor’s experience and guidance.
Though buying your first home can be overwhelming, a mortgage lender and Realtor can be extremely beneficial to help ease the process. In addition, many Realtors offer first-time homebuyers seminars and workshops, often for free.

April Cal-Culator Reveals Continued Spring Setback

April Cal-Culator Reveals Continued Spring Setback

 After a strong winter in the real estate industry, the spring season continues to disappoint with sluggish market performance. Though the industry hit a record-breaking 6.0 twice earlier this year, the April Cal-Culator
lingered at a 5.7. Positive gains in underwater mortgages (home loans with a higher balance than the market value of the home) and foreclosures were offset by slow growth in existing-home sales and home prices.

The April Cal-Culator

Foreclosures
One of the bright spots of the month is CoreLogic’s latest National Foreclosure Report.  The report found that foreclosure rates (the 12-month sum of completed foreclosures) are back to November 2008 levels and foreclosure inventory is down 5.1 percent year-over-year.
“The inventory of homes in foreclosure and serious delinquency status are back to 2008 levels, yet remain elevated from a historic perspective,” said Dr. Mark Fleming, chief economist for CoreLogic. “While getting healthier, the housing market is still a long way from being fully recovered.”
Unfortunately, Georgia was leading the nation with the fifth-highest number of completed foreclosures during the past 12 months – 33,000.
Home Prices
The most recent S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices showed little growth in home price gains for the majority of the 10-City and 20-City Composite, where Atlanta is included. Atlanta posted a -0.6 percent change, seasonally adjusted, month-over-month and -0.1 percent change year-over-year. David M. Blitzer, chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices, said these “annual rates cooled the most we’ve seen in some time” and that the recovery in housing starts is “faltering.”
Home Sales
A report from the National Association of Realtors found that existing-home sales remained stagnant in March. Declining sales in the West and South offset gains in the Northeast and Midwest. Overall total existing-home sales slipped 0.2 percent.
“There should really be stronger levels of home sales given our population growth,” said Lawrence Yun, NAR chief economist. “In contrast, price growth is rising faster than historical norms because of inventory shortages.”
However, pending home sales increased for the first time in nine months. The Pending Home Sales Index, a “forward-looking indicator,” rose 3.4 percent nationwide and 5.6 percent in the South in March.
“After a dismal winter, more buyers got an opportunity to look at homes last month and are beginning to make contract offers,” said Yun. “Sales activity is expected to steadily pick up as more inventory reaches the market, and from ongoing job creation in the economy.”
Underwater Properties
RealtyTrac’s U.S. Home Equity & Underwater Report for the first quarter of 2014 showed that 17 percent of all properties with a mortgage were seriously underwater, where the combined loan amount of the property is at least 25 percent higher than the property’s estimated value, the lowest level since RealtyTrac began tracking negative equity in 2012. Unfortunately, Georgia has the 10th-highest number of underwater mortgages in the nation.
“U.S. homeowners are continuing to recover equity lost during the Great Recession, but the pace of that recovering equity slowed in the first quarter, corresponding to slowing home price appreciation,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac.
The May Cal-Culator will be released June 10 and will hopefully represent resurgence in the housing industry.

January Cal-Culator Starts New Year in Right Direction

January Cal-Culator Starts New Year in Right Direction

Posted on February 10, 2014 by admin

The December Cal-Culator’s outlook and promise for Atlanta’s residential real estate market in the new year seems to be ringing true. For the first time in The Cal-Culator’s history, the index has risen to 6.0 in part due to national and local rising home prices, increased home sales, a decrease in foreclosures and lowered interest rates, among other factors.

The January Cal-Culator

The Atlanta Board of Realtors reported home sales in the 11-county metro region experienced a 1.9 percent increase in December from the year prior.  National home sales of new and existing homes saw a 6.8 percent increase from the year earlier with the South having the strongest surge at 10.6 percent.

“We expect these statistics to begin rising as the warmer weather arrives, but this reversal of the downward trend established over the last several months is a welcome change,” said Atlanta Board of Realtors President Todd Emerson.

The latest data from CoreLogic found that metro Atlanta home prices rose 15.7 percent year-over-year in November­­. Home prices appreciated 13.3 percent overall in Georgia ­– the fifth highest in the nation.

“The market appears to be shrugging off rising interest rates, sluggishness in [national] employment growth and an uncertain economic environment,” said Steve Murray, editor of REAL Trends Housing Market Report.

However, some national month-to month numbers are moving in a negative direction, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index posted on Jan. 28. The national measure of home prices posted its first month-over-month decline, 0.1 percent, in 10 months.

“While housing will make further contributions to the economy in 2014, the pace of price gains is likely to slow during the year,” said David Blitzer, chairman of the index committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices.

Foreclosures reached a decade-low in Atlanta in January, according to the Atlanta Board of Realtors. Metro Atlanta foreclosure notices were down 56 percent from January 2013, continuing the trend of decreased foreclosures since 2011. The decline has been attributed to the improving economy, including the lowered unemployment rate in Georgia. Decreased foreclosures, combined with historically low inventory of for-sale homes, increased new-home construction by 38 percent in 2013 as builders try to fill the void of the housing crunch.

“The market’s no longer getting weighed down by foreclosures,” said Daren Blomquist, vice president at RealtyTrac. “There’s a more normal, healthy pattern going forward.”
In December, the Federal Reserve announced it would buy $10 billion less in bonds per month in an effort to hold down long-term interest rates. The effects may already be reverberating throughout the industry. Though interest rates have risen a full percentage point since roughly a year ago, mortgage buyer Freddie Mac announced the average 30-year-loan fell to 4.32 percent during the last week of January, much to hopeful homebuyers’ delight.

The next Cal-Culator will be released March 11 and will hopefully reflect a positive month in Atlanta residential real estate.

www.southeastmortgage.com
770-279-0222
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